Andrew_W, I could choose not to believe the Bernoulli Principle, but my disbelief won’t cause all airplane to immediately fall out of the sky. Change in solar activity requires no assumptions and is direct, simple, and immediate. The answer to this question would seem to depend on whether one defines science according to universal features, or culturally specific ones. (Recall a month ago, or so, Edward & I were trying to insert YouTube video-players into our comments & they wouldn’t “stick” as it were, at upload. Pay attention to the flying saucer example and think of AGW as the flying saucer. As Teddy Roosevelt said, “Better to speak softly and carry a big stick.” Words in CAPS on the web make it seem like you are shouting at people, which turns them off, even if they agree with you. I’ll stick with the simpler theory: warmer atmosphere leads to more water vapor, rather than look to a more complex hypothesis involving negative feedbacks involving clouds. After that, I will ban you. Turns out science is universal. They endlessly invent new crisi to scaremonger people into submission. Richard Feynman has several contributions to the scientific community, such as the Feynman path integral and Feynman diagrams, which are still used to this day. levels were high, only problem is that community was about 10,000 years old!!! –San Antonio Express-News. Mankind through our production of GH gases has increased the concentration of the GH gas CO2 by 50% over the last 150 years. Cortaro, AZ 85652. They have done it to themselves and have only themselves to blame. You, dear layman, continue to project yourself onto others, because you just do not recognize actual science when you see it. It is just like the argument that oil companies produce biased science, except in reverse direction. (Just because one is able to clutter up their web-site, doesn’t mean they should! :). You wrote: “scientists are working hard to account for all the possible forcings and feedbacks they and others have thought of, all those factors are included in modeling and trying to understand the real world”. Do not be dishonest in trying to get your way.

This is why we cannot accurately forecast the weather more than a couple of days out (and I live in a desert-like, chaparral, area where the weather does not change much, day to day). Not only did he do an excellent job, he offers a 15% discount for BtB readers. Don’t try telling me what I know, because you obviously have no idea what I know, what skeptics know, or what scientists and engineers know. Richard Feynman about doubt and uncertainty Human activity is not necessary for global cooling, global warming, or climate change. As Garry has opined, it would be a shame if all this speculation were to be “true,” because the climate-people have behaved atrociously & burned through any goodwill I might have ascribed to them in the past. Crickets…..no one in the media is covering that story…..wonder why??????? I have been a test engineer. Ah. External events cannot necessarily be predicted, but can have huge influence on the aspect covered by the theory. The point is, nobody but your strawman is saying that any theory has to predict exact outcomes under all circumstances. The Ten Most Recent Essays & Commentaries, The Chronological Encyclopedia of Discoveries in Space, The last column: History’s moment of truth, Richard Feynman explains the Scientific Method, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FRG-RBZBTZI, http://phys.org/news/2014-07-vapor-global-amplifier.html, http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2014/07/updated-list-of-29-excuses-for-18-year.html, http://www.ucsusa.org/publications/ask/2013/climate-modeling.html#.V8jaumCKSUk, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2mIk3wBJDgE, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHB7hU_r8mc, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svante_Arrhenius#Greenhouse_effect, https://archive.org/details/0837_In_Our_Hands_Part_3_How_To_Lose_What_We_Have_18_47_04_00, http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/170948/progressive-professor-demands-death-penalty-global-daniel-greenfield, http://www.hoover.org/research/libertarian-dangers-martin-act. Turns out science is universal. The blogger coments: Quantum physics is so complex that the experts admit that no one really understands it. There are gases in Earth’s atmosphere commonly called greenhouse gases these gases create the greenhouse effect. (That gets us nowhere.) If you have different beliefs, thoughts, or attitudes on this topic, you have not presented them clearly. You do not understand Sherlock Holmes’s aphorism, for you must assume that all other hypotheses (apparently even your own El Nino hypothesis) have already been shown to be impossible. Once again, you are the one playing at expert of the scientific method. All science is intelligent inference; excessive literalism is a delusion, not a humble bowing to evidence.

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