Carlson is still extremely young relative to his competition. Yes, the 2020 season is somewhat lost because of the virus, but the Cardinals can still gain invaluable experience for a unique talent they believe will be a big part of their long term future. Player contracts, player development, the amateur draft… essentially anywhere one might examine today’s meta for modern baseball, you’ll find quantitative analysis. These days front offices are scouting players differently than ever. They would have to keep him out until mid-May of 2021 to buy a second year. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies.

At Minute Maid Park, he has a chance to blossom into one of the top corner outfielders in the game. These guys have the potential to be special. He produced a less-than-inspiring .240/.342/.347 slash line at A-level Peoria. Time will tell how exactly he handles those failures, and how quickly he can adjust. His 70 grade speed should last for some time. His right-handed approach at the plate is advanced, and his ability from the left side isn’t far behind, especially from a power standpoint. That’s not to say Doyle isn’t a talented player with a lot of promise. His long-term future, though, is likely not at that position. Note that prospects are ranked by number but also lie within tiers demarcated by their Future Value grades. The Cardinals knew. A switch-hitter, Acosta is pretty advanced from the left side. Those people don’t know what they’re talking about.

Just as Holliday and Ozuna played some center when they first came up, Carlson can, too.

If that .313-.321 wOBA comes with a walk rate above 8% and a K rate below 25%, I’ll be happy. Most top 10 draft picks are headlined by high-ceiling, modest-floor athletes that are almost assuredly going to bring some semblance of worth to their organization’s big league ball club when the time comes. The only knock on Kelenic leading up to the 2018 draft was his Wisconsin roots. And hey! While his overall slash line in ‘18 was similar to the year before, his power did start to show, despite the terrible offensive environment. Short season ball has its fair share of standout performers as well, though for this exercise, we’ll wait and see how they perform in full-season levels before jumping to conclusions.
Hit me up on Twitter to continue the conversation in real-time during his PAs. The Cardinals weren’t concerned that then age-17 Dylan Carlson might one day end up at first base. MLB passed the minimum days to qualify for a year of service time weeks ago. Less traditional analytics confirmed those skills and surely gave Flores and the player development team reason to believe the rewards would one day come from their risky pick.

Arozarena is good.

Downs is a bit of a pull-happy hitter, but naturally, it’s where he finds most of his pop. The Tampa, FL. Carlson’s path to the majors is a fascinating study in the value of scouting, age-per-level, and analytics over traditional box score stats. start). Some of Carlson’s detractors like to argue that he has “only done it once” and that since his production came out of nowhere, it’s probably not real. Acosta slashed .531/.571/.776 from the left side -- good for a 1.347 OPS.

Did the Cardinals know this? Despite holding a career OPS barely above 700, giddy scouts and analysts kept pointing to an imminent explosion of production.
Figures the kid named after Derek Jeter would go on to be one of the more exciting prospects in the game. Don’t repeat the mistakes that many fans and arm-chair analysts made when Carlson was 18 and “struggling” in A-ball.

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